Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000280 0.000311 0.000348
2025-03-09 0.000145 0.000174 0.000208 0.000250 0.000303 0.000367 0.000449
2025-03-16 0.000117 0.000149 0.000188 0.000240 0.000309 0.000399 0.000525
2025-03-23 0.000103 0.000136 0.000179 0.000241 0.000328 0.000447 0.000625
2025-03-30 0.000094 0.000130 0.000178 0.000250 0.000356 0.000510 0.000755
2025-04-06 0.000084 0.000119 0.000168 0.000244 0.000362 0.000541 0.000841
2025-04-13 0.000073 0.000106 0.000155 0.000232 0.000356 0.000552 0.000896
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000101 0.000151 0.000233 0.000370 0.000596 0.001010
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000097 0.000150 0.000239 0.000392 0.000654 0.001158
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000092 0.000144 0.000237 0.000400 0.000690 0.001271
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000088 0.000142 0.000238 0.000415 0.000739 0.001415
2025-05-18 0.000052 0.000084 0.000137 0.000236 0.000422 0.000775 0.001539
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000080 0.000134 0.000237 0.000436 0.000827 0.001712
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000076 0.000131 0.000236 0.000447 0.000876 0.001887
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000226 0.000439 0.000884 0.001971
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000068 0.000120 0.000227 0.000453 0.000943 0.002187
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000067 0.000122 0.000235 0.000483 0.001040 0.002519
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000063 0.000117 0.000230 0.000484 0.001070 0.002683
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000058 0.000109 0.000219 0.000469 0.001060 0.002740
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000220 0.000483 0.001123 0.003011
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000225 0.000507 0.001215 0.003392
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000223 0.000513 0.001263 0.003650
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000052 0.000103 0.000224 0.000528 0.001337 0.004006